Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 13.528268 15.192327 16.997019 19.102198 21.493739 24.129866 27.260883
2025-04-06 10.812197 12.966752 15.474674 18.619296 22.470520 27.050697 32.936281
2025-04-13 8.906645 11.315000 14.298743 18.288930 23.518347 30.183607 39.394352
2025-04-20 7.752918 10.385268 13.840007 18.746576 25.601443 34.934666 48.769130
2025-04-27 6.859704 9.647043 13.505021 19.300287 27.898487 40.362888 60.126370
2025-05-04 6.043482 8.884280 13.012243 19.542398 29.788742 45.543782 72.176104
2025-05-11 5.225097 7.992866 12.194933 19.162350 30.669986 49.354210 82.882495
2025-05-18 4.570836 7.253179 11.494155 18.841277 31.574912 53.343316 94.702660
2025-05-25 4.037709 6.628420 10.881851 18.559154 32.482907 57.479622 107.645003
2025-06-01 3.614542 6.125403 10.396360 18.410364 33.586758 62.141553 122.565124
2025-06-08 3.269291 5.708322 9.997959 18.348889 34.829533 67.269397 139.531797
2025-06-15 3.068902 5.519784 9.976071 18.977585 37.497106 75.659270 165.260235
2025-06-22 2.803112 5.185364 9.655918 19.010395 39.041755 82.190981 188.839447
2025-06-29 2.517178 4.777237 9.142832 18.578806 39.546487 86.616177 208.698683
2025-07-06 2.283146 4.440855 8.726226 18.283886 40.300053 91.760073 231.724175
2025-07-13 2.152202 4.294344 8.673755 18.767172 42.915044 101.824384 270.388305
2025-07-20 2.041439 4.175309 8.662295 19.340796 45.857235 113.339643 316.453571
2025-07-27 1.914886 4.007187 8.523227 19.597573 48.074396 123.498715 361.714057
2025-08-03 1.754282 3.746099 8.145868 19.226350 48.622606 129.328438 395.585702
2025-08-10 1.614992 3.516469 7.811524 18.911204 49.267431 135.590137 432.887477
2025-08-17 1.492595 3.311468 7.509414 18.632986 49.968260 142.192556 473.555483
2025-08-24 1.390439 3.142100 7.271506 18.487166 51.022956 150.120335 521.641184
2025-08-31 1.302845 2.997585 7.076618 18.428014 52.326456 159.149637 577.024353